Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rosenborg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Valerenga are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosenborg hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Eliteserien, while Rosenborg holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00