Rosenborgvs
Sandefjord
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosenborg 1-1 Sandefjord
Original prediction
Rosenborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 69.4% | 52.6% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.28 | 17.7% | 25.1% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 7.23 | 12.9% | 22.3% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80