Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosenborg 1-2 Ham-Kam
Original prediction
Rosenborg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.9% | 49.9% | -27.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.33 | 14.5% | 21.8% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 10.69 | 8.6% | 28.3% | 19.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RosenborgWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ham-KamLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RosenborgHam-Kam
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
89.8Power97.0
2.41xG2.11