Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosenborg 4-0 Ham-Kam
Original prediction
Rosenborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 70.2% | 58.0% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.16 | 18.1% | 20.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 7.98 | 11.7% | 21.8% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RosenborgLWWLW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ham-KamDLDWL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RosenborgHam-Kam
50.0Attack48.1
51.9Defence40.7
44.4Form42.6
49.2Power44.9
1.94xG1.27