Rosenborg IIvs
Nardo
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 4-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosenborg II 2-5 Nardo
Original prediction
Rosenborg II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.9% | 64.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.8% | 15.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.4% | 19.8% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.4–26%
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg II
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Rosenborg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20