Rosenborg IIvs
Melhus
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosenborg II 1-4 Melhus
Original prediction
Melhus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.4% | 36.6% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.1% | 22.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.5% | 41.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20