Rosario Centralvs
Sarmiento Junin
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sarmiento Junin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Rosario Central holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00