Rosario Centralvs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/6/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rosario Central 1-0 Newells Old Boys, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosario Central 1-1 Newells Old Boys
Original prediction
Rosario Central
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 59.0% | 58.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.9% | 26.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.67 | 14.1% | 15.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Rosario Central 1–0 Newells Old Boys
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00