Rosario Centralvs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 5/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rosario Central are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60