GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/17/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rosario Central are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Internacional are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Internacional hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario CentralLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
InternacionalDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Rosario CentralInternacional
33.3Attack29.2
58.3Defence79.2
41.7Form50.0
47.4Power55.1
0.71xG0.78
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