Rosario Centralvs
Independiente del Valle
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rosario Central are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Rosario Central holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20