Rosario Centralvs
Independ. Rivadavia
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rosario Central 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosario Central 5-0 Independ. Rivadavia
Original prediction
Rosario Central
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 47.0% | 38.7% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.3% | 30.1% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 23.7% | 31.2% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Projected Score
Rosario Central 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60