Rosario Centralvs
Gimnasia L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rosario Central 1-0 Gimnasia L.P., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosario Central 1-2 Gimnasia L.P.
Original prediction
Rosario Central
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 55.6% | 52.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.7% | 27.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.7% | 20.0% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
Rosario Central 1–0 Gimnasia L.P.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80