Rosario Centralvs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/14/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60