GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/14/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

63.3%

Model confidence

63.3%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario CentralWWLLD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Fortaleza ECWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rosario CentralFortaleza EC
33.3Attack71.8
58.3Defence74.4
41.7Form76.9
47.4Power74.1
0.61xG1.84
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