GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rosario Central Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.7% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

16.7%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario Central Res.WDLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Instituto Res.DLLDL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rosario Central Res.Instituto Res.
47.0Attack34.8
62.1Defence62.1
51.5Form40.9
54.7Power48.5
1.17xG0.71
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