GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rosario Central Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Tucumán Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario Central Res.WWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético Tucumán Res.DWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rosario Central Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
47.0Attack40.6
62.1Defence56.5
51.5Form50.7
54.7Power51.1
1.32xG0.83
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