Rosario Central Res.vs
Aldosivi Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rosario Central Res. 1-0 Aldosivi Res., with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rosario Central Res. 1-1 Aldosivi Res.
Original prediction
Rosario Central Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 56.9% | 47.1% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.9% | 28.3% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.1% | 24.6% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Projected Score
Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Aldosivi Res.
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central Res.
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40