Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rops 2-0 VJS
Original prediction
Rops
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.1% | 47.9% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 20.6% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 31.6% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RopsLDWDL
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
VJSDDWDD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RopsVJS
71.4Attack60.3
49.2Defence54.0
58.7Form49.2
59.3Power55.0
2.19xG1.69