Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rops are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while VJS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
10.1%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00