Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rops 1-1 OLS
Original prediction
Rops
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.9% | 54.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.3% | 19.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.9% | 26.8% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.89 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RopsWLDWD
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OLSWLDDW
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RopsOLS
71.2Attack65.2
51.5Defence47.0
60.6Form51.5
60.6Power54.8
2.53xG1.74