Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rops 6-1 JJK
Original prediction
Rops
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.3% | 56.0% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.67 | 16.0% | 21.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 7.13 | 12.7% | 23.1% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RopsWLDWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JJKLLLWD
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RopsJJK
69.3Attack73.3
50.7Defence29.3
58.7Form41.3
59.2Power47.0
3.35xG1.95