World · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norway W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Romania W 0-2 Norway W
Original prediction
Norway W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 23.70 | 3.8% | 32.6% | 28.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.56 | 10.6% | 23.7% | 13.0 pts |
| Away | 1.06 | 85.5% | 43.7% | -41.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-41.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Norway W
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Norway W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80