Romania U21vs
Finland U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Finland U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Romania U21 0-2 Finland U21
Original prediction
Finland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.8% | 28.7% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 26.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.8% | 45.1% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Finland U21
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Finland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40