Romania U19vs
Hungary U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Romania U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Romania U19 1-2 Hungary U19
Original prediction
Romania U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.3% | 48.0% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.9% | 25.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 31.8% | 26.2% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Romania U19
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Romania U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80