Roma Wvs
Sassuolo W
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie A Cup Women · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roma W 0-1 Sassuolo W
Original prediction
Roma W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.3% | 59.4% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.41 | 16.6% | 22.1% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 8.90 | 10.1% | 18.5% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Roma W
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Roma WWWLDL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sassuolo WWLDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25
BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Roma WSassuolo W
86.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence55.6
80.0Form44.4
77.3Power45.9
2.07xG0.88