Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Roma W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lazio W are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Roma W hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (77.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Serie A Cup Women, while Roma W holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roma W
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67