Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Roma U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Monza U20 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Roma U20 hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Campionato Primavera - 1, while Roma U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roma U20
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
9.1%
Roma U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40