GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Youth League · 10/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Roma U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Roma U19 5-0 Slovan Bratislava U19

Original prediction

Roma U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1578.5%56.3%-22.2 pts
Draw6.6413.6%21.6%8.0 pts
Away11.447.9%22.1%14.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.1–19%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Roma U19

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Roma U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Roma U19LWLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Slovan Bratislava U19WLWLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Roma U19Slovan Bratislava U19
66.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power32.3
2.38xG1.41
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