Roma U19vs
Real Madrid U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roma U19 0-1 Real Madrid U19
Original prediction
Real Madrid U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.87 | 23.5% | 33.9% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.36 | 20.8% | 24.9% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.7% | 41.3% | -14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid U19
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Real Madrid U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60