GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · 9/4/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rolândia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Rolândia are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Campo Mourão are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rolândia hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Paranaense - 3, while Rolândia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rolândia

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Rolândia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RolândiaW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Campo MourãoWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
RolândiaCampo Mourão
56.7Attack75.0
43.3Defence37.5
53.3Form41.7
52.0Power49.7
2.18xG2.11
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