Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Rogaška are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Maribor are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.3% in the 1. SNL, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00