Rodina Moskvavs
Rubin
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 9/16/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva 1-1 Rubin
Original prediction
Rubin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 29.8% | 32.6% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 29.3% | 27.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 40.9% | 39.6% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rodina MoskvaLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RubinDDDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 1/5
Rodina MoskvaRubin
33.3Attack44.4
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form44.4
17.3Power47.5
1.29xG1.49