Rodina MoskvavsOrenburg

Rodina Moskva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Orenburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Cup, while Rodina Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.