GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rodina Moskva are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FK Sokol Saratov are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the First League, while Rodina Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Rodina Moskva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina MoskvaDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FK Sokol SaratovWWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 2.25/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Rodina MoskvaFK Sokol Saratov
52.0Attack31.4
69.6Defence48.0
53.9Form37.3
58.4Power41.8
1.81xG0.50
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