Rodina Moskvavs
Baltika
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baltika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva 0-3 Baltika
Original prediction
Baltika
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.81 | 24.9% | 27.4% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.7% | 27.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 47.4% | 45.5% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Baltika
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00