GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baltika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rodina Moskva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Baltika are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Baltika hold a 47.4-point power-rating edge (17.3 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Premier League, while Baltika holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baltika

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

12.8%

Baltika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina MoskvaDWWLL

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BaltikaWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
33.3Attack55.6
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
17.3Power64.7
1.08xG1.67
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