GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 3/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva III · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Rodina Moskva III are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Orel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva III hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Rodina Moskva III holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva III

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Rodina Moskva III has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina Moskva IIIWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
OrelLWLLD

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rodina Moskva IIIOrel
61.4Attack42.1
42.1Defence42.1
42.1Form40.4
47.1Power43.0
2.31xG1.33
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