Rodina Moskva IIvs
Volgar Astrakhan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rodina Moskva II 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva II 1-1 Volgar Astrakhan
Original prediction
Rodina Moskva II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.3% | 65.4% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.4% | 22.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.3% | 12.7% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Volgar Astrakhan
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva II
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Rodina Moskva II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20