Rodina Moskva IIvs
Novosibirsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rodina Moskva II 2-0 Novosibirsk, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva II 1-3 Novosibirsk
Original prediction
Rodina Moskva II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.1% | 56.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.3% | 24.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 21.6% | 19.0% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Rodina Moskva II 2–0 Novosibirsk
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva II
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Rodina Moskva II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20