Rodina Moskva IIvs
Mashuk-KMV
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rodina Moskva II 1-0 Mashuk-KMV, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva II 3-1 Mashuk-KMV
Original prediction
Rodina Moskva II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.2% | 52.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 28.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.1% | 18.4% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Mashuk-KMV
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva II
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Rodina Moskva II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80