Rodina Moskva IIvs
Kaluga
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rodina Moskva II 1-0 Kaluga, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva II 3-0 Kaluga
Original prediction
Rodina Moskva II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.3% | 71.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 20.1% | 20.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 6.80 | 13.6% | 8.5% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Rodina Moskva II 1–0 Kaluga
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva II
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Rodina Moskva II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40