Rodina Moskva IIvs
FK Sokol Saratov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodina Moskva II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rodina Moskva II 1-0 FK Sokol Saratov, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodina Moskva II 4-0 FK Sokol Saratov
Original prediction
Rodina Moskva II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.2% | 52.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.20 | 21.6% | 20.1% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Rodina Moskva II 1–0 FK Sokol Saratov
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Rodina Moskva II
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Rodina Moskva II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20