GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/29/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rodina Moskva II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva II hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina Moskva IILWWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chertanovo MoscowLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Rodina Moskva IIChertanovo Moscow
31.5Attack38.9
75.9Defence66.7
59.3Form40.7
57.6Power49.0
0.69xG0.52
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