GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/12/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rodez are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Saint Etienne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.4 against 59.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RodezDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Saint EtienneLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RodezSaint Etienne
44.4Attack56.2
62.0Defence63.8
57.4Form58.1
57.4Power59.2
1.03xG1.17
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