Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodez · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodez 2-2 PAU
Original prediction
Rodez
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.8% | 47.2% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.5% | 26.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.7% | 26.3% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Rodez
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Rodez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RodezWLWLD
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PAULWLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RodezPAU
88.9Attack11.1
44.4Defence77.8
66.7Form33.3
65.7Power43.7
1.48xG0.97