Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodez · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rodez are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PAU are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodez hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Ligue 2, while Rodez holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rodez
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
13.8%
Rodez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20