Rodezvs
Montpellier
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 10/19/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montpellier · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodez 0-3 Montpellier
Original prediction
Montpellier
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 33.4% | 28.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.0% | 25.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 39.6% | 45.8% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Montpellier
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Montpellier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80