Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodez · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rodez 0-1 Grenoble
Original prediction
Rodez
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.5% | 52.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.8% | 23.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.7% | 23.9% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Rodez
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Rodez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RodezLDWLW
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GrenobleLWLDL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RodezGrenoble
73.3Attack40.0
26.7Defence33.3
46.7Form26.7
49.1Power34.4
2.26xG1.34