Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NAC Breda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Roda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NAC Breda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NAC Breda hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Eerste Divisie, while NAC Breda holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NAC Breda
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
12.6%
NAC Breda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60