Rodavs
Jong PSV U21
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Roda 1-1 Jong PSV U21
Original prediction
Roda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 55.1% | 49.1% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.7% | 26.2% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 22.2% | 24.7% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Roda
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Roda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RodaLWDWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Jong PSV U21LDLWD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
RodaJong PSV U21
33.3Attack51.9
74.1Defence40.7
55.6Form44.4
56.8Power48.1
1.38xG0.86