Rochefortvs
Standard Liège II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rochefort · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rochefort 1-0 Standard Liège II
Original prediction
Rochefort
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.8% | 52.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.55 | 20.1% | 22.7% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Rochefort
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Rochefort has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60