Rochefortvs
Sporting Charleroi II
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rochefort · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rochefort 1-1 Sporting Charleroi II
Original prediction
Rochefort
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.0% | 53.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 23.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.28 | 21.1% | 22.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Rochefort
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Rochefort has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20