Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rochefort 3-3 Gent
Original prediction
Gent
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30.86 | 3.0% | 33.9% | 30.8 pts |
| Draw | 11.85 | 7.9% | 21.5% | 13.7 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 89.1% | 44.6% | -44.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 10.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-44.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RochefortWWDWD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GentWWWDW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RochefortGent
100.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power50.0
2.27xG1.53